Explains the importance and interrelations between factors describing economic and social phenomena, based on microdata, selecting appropriate econometric tools allowing for their proper interpretation. 

Subject contents:

1. Introduction to microeconometrics
2 Linear models
3. Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition
4. Models of qualitative binomial variables (logit, probit)
5. Models of polynomial variables (logit polynomial model, conditional logit model)
6. Tobit model and Heckman selection
7. Multilevel models
8. Proportional Hazard Model: Cox Model

Effectively uses in-depth knowledge of economic time series analysis methods, applying the results of analyzes to formulate forecasts.

Subject contents:

1. Classical time series analysis (trend, cyclical fluctuations)

2. Exponential smoothing models

3. Holt and Winters model

4. Stochastic processes and time series

5. Characteristics of stochastic processes

6. Process spectrum autocorrelation functions

7. Study of the stationarity of the time series

8. Autoregressive (AR) processes

9. Moving average (MA) processes

10. Mixed processes (ARMA)

11. Non-stationary mixed autoregression-moving average (ARIMA) processes

12. Identification and estimation of models of stochastic processes

13. Time series testing and forecasting

ECONOMIC GROWTH AND CONVERGENCE THEORIES 

Course run in summer semester 2023/2024

Data Analysis
dr inż. Karol Flisikowski, prof. PG

- winter semester 2023/24

The course aims to familiarize stdnets with the most important theories of the international relations. This instrument will enable them to understand a series of case studies that will be presented starting with the first wordl war and going until today. The case studies will include the main aspects of the Cold War period, the role of USA and Soviet Union in shaping the international relations according to a political and ideological logics of blocks. Moreover, it will include the main determinants of the post-Cold War situation:the concept of peace dividend, the passage to a short phase of American unipolarity, and the following multipolar world. The last part of the course will be focusing on the role of China in international relations and how its attitude is changing the international political and economic relations. Within this framework the case studies will face with the US-Chinese relations from the political, economic, technological, and cultural point of view.

The course focuses the main trends of the world economy in the last 30 years. National and macro-regional, as well as sectorial case studies will be used to offer a clearer understanding of the main global dynamics. The approach is multidisciplinary and mainly qualitative, including economic and business history, international political economy, economic sociology and political science.